Policy Impact on Regional Biogas Using a Modular Modeling Tool

Biogas development is expected to contribute the National Recovery and Resilience plan overcome COVID-19 shock. Estimation of agricultural biogas potential in economic terms can refining policies inciting effective sector development. In this paper, we attempt do so by modeling a chain from dedicated crops livestock waste. This was achieved coupling farming models industry partial equilibrium framework. allows for comprehensive investigation alternative measures technology, size, spatial distribution land use change. The integrated model implemented Lubelskie previous policy (green certificates) current (auction market). both cases, bottom-up profit driven optimization resulted approximately 40 MWel, which shows robust more than four times sector’s actual capacity region, also providing detailed structure sector. When focusing on structure, scenarios give similar results regarding 1–2 MWel plant size close observed situation. suggests large number new facilities <250 kWel, twice as important under scenario 2, indicating that other conditions beyond economy profitability should be fulfilled further